Monday, August 29, 2011

Market Sentiment Improves, South Korean Won Gains

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South Korean wonThe South Korean won gained today as the comments of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke last Friday increased risk appetite among Forex market participants, bolstering appeal of higher-yielding currencies.

Bernanke made comments on August 26 about ability of the US to support growth of its economy in the long run. Markets reacted positively and traders began search for higher-yield. South Korean trade balance surplus widened to $4.94 billion in July from $2.03 billion in June.

USD/KRW fell from 1,080.10 to 1,073.50 today as of 13:46 GMT.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the South Korean Won, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the South Korean Won:

    * Korean Won Falls on Anticipation of Crisis (2011-08-19)
    * Korea's Won Retreats After Rally (2011-08-12)
    * South Korea Holds Interest Rates, Won Goes Lower (2011-08-11)
    * South Korean Won Suffers from Europe's Troubles (2011-07-12)
    * Higher South Korea's Inflation Leads to Gains for Won (2011-07-01)


Rand Advances with Stocks & Metals

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South African randThe South African rand rallied today, rising to the highest level in more than a week against the US dollar, as stocks and metals advanced after the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke last week.

Bernanke said last Friday that the Fed has means to support growth of the US economy, improving market sentiment. The main South African stock index jumped 1.7 percent as prices on the London Metal Exchange increased for a fourth day. South Africa’s economy itself performs not that good, though, and many investors still convinced that the nation’s central bank will cut interest rates.

USD/ZAR fell from 7.1300 to 7.0810 today as of 9:56 GMT and touched 7.0680 — the lowest level since August 17.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the South African Rand, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the South African Rand:

    * Rand Weakens on Prospect of Interest Rates Cut (2011-08-22)
    * Rand Near Monthly High vs. USD on Rate Difference, US Uncertainty (2011-07-26)
    * Rand Weakened by Credit Rating Outlook for Greece (2011-07-05)
    * Rand Weakens with Commodities on US Growth Forecast (2011-06-23)
    * South African Rand Falls on Greek Crisis, Trims Losses (2011-06-20)

Fundamentals are Bad for US Dollar, But Week Wasn’t Bad

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US DollarThe fundamentals this week were negative for the US dollar, weakening the currency against some major counterparts, but performance of the greenback wasn’t that bad, considering all the pressure to the downside.

There were plenty of bad new for the dollar this week. Bad housing data, rising unemployment claims and slower that expected growth of the US economy. The week ended with the speech of Ben Bernanke, who hinted at possibility of additional stimulus without detailing an actual plan.

The dollar was dragged down by the unfavorable fundamentals and fell against the euro and commodity currencies (including the currencies of Canada, Australia and New Zealand). On the other hand, the dollar gained against the franc and rallied versus the yen before losing its gains by the end of the week as there aren’t many choices for investors who need a safe currency, but afraid of interventions of Japan and Switzerland. The pound also fell against the greenback as Britain has its own problems that erase attractiveness of the nation’s currency.

Next week may also be hard for the dollar. Analysts predict another unfavorable report about hosing and are pessimistic about employment data.

EUR/USD climbed from 1.4376 to 1.4498, while during the week it dropped to 1.4327. USD/CHF climbed from 0.7904 to 0.8058 and reached the daily high of 0.8157. AUD/USD surged from 1.0380 to 1.0569.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the US Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the US Dollar:

    * Dollar Drops After Bernanke Speech & GDP Report (2011-08-26)
    * Will Bernanke Announce QE3? Will Dollar Decline? (2011-08-25)
    * Dollar Gains Before Bernanke Speech (2011-08-24)
    * Dollar Falls on China's & Europe's Manufacturing (2011-08-23)
    * Dollar Rises While Traders Afraid of Recession (2011-08-18)
Sunday, August 28, 2011

Pound Goes Down as UK Economy Slows

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Great Britain poundThe Great Britain pound weakened against the Japanese yen and slowed its advance versus the US dollar after the report showed the UK economy grew with slower pace in the second quarter.

The revised figure for growth of UK gross domestic product in the second quarter of 2011 was 0.2 percent, the same as in the preliminary estimate. It indicates slower expansion, compared to 0.5 percent growth in the first quarter. The report also mentioned that several special events affected Britain’s economy in Q2: the additional April public holiday, the royal wedding and the aftereffects of the Japanese tsunami.

GBP/JPY fell from 126.12 to 125.68 today as of 9:24 GMT and touched the daily low of 125.41 earlier. GBP/USD climbed from 1.6278 to 1.6332.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Great Britain Pound, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Great Britain Pound:

    * GBP Falls vs. EUR with Consumer Confidence & Retail Sales (2011-08-25)
    * Pound Rises as Inflation Accelerates (2011-08-16)
    * Osborne Refuses Review Spending Cuts, Boosting Pound (2011-08-12)
    * Pound Drops with Higher Trade Deficit (2011-08-09)
    * Pound Weakens on Worsening Consumer Sentiment (2011-07-21)

Euro Falls for Second Day vs. Dollar

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EuroThe euro fell against the US dollar for the second day and erased gains versus the Swiss franc today as investors are less willing to buy the currency amid signs of problems in Europe and concerns of global economic slowdown.

The decline of consumer confidence in Germany had its negative impact on the shared European currency. GfK stated that German consumer confidence fell from 5.3 to 5.2 this month and wrote in the report:

Economic expectations virtually collapsed in August, and in light of this, there has also been a moderate drop in Germans’ income expectations.

The euro also weakened on the speculation European lawmakers will extend the ban on short sales.

The global weren’t very supportive for the euro either as rising unemployment claims worsened sentiment of traders. Jobless claims in the US rose to 417,000 last week from the previous week’s revised figure of 412,000. Economists anticipated decrease to 403,000.

EUR/USD fell from 1.4412 to 1.4377 today as of 17:39 GMT. During the day the currency pair reached the high of 1.4474 and the low of 1.4327. EUR/CHF traded at 1.4437 today after earlier it dropped from 1.1465 to 1.1407.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Euro, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Euro:

* Euro Drops as Europe's Economic Growth Slows (2011-08-16)
* Euro Weakens as Investors Shun European Bonds (2011-08-02)
* Euro Slids for Second Day on Debt Crisis Concern (2011-07-28)
* Euro Posts Weekly Gain After Two Weeks of Losses (2011-07-23)
* Euro Drops as Optimism Caused by EU Summit Wanes (2011-07-22)

Australia’s Dollar Weakens on Germany’s Consumer Confidence

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Australian dollarThe Australian dollar fell today against most major currencies, before rebounding, as the report showed consumer confidence in Germany declined this month, reducing appeal of higher-yielding assets.

The drop of German confidence wasn’t very big as the GfK indicator retreated just to 5.2 in August from 5.3 in the month before. The report explained:

    Despite the current crisis on the financial markets, Germans’ willingness to buy is surprisingly robust and increased further in August from an already high level. However, the worsening of the international debt crisis and rising fears of a return to recession for the global economy have clearly left their mark on the economic optimism of Germans.

AUD/USD traded at about 1.0466 today as of 11:16 GMT after dropping from 1.0471 to 1.0428.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Australian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Australian Dollar:

    * Australia Dollar Receives Help from Commodities (2011-08-17)
    * Aussie Falls as RBA Minutes Don't Exclude Rates Cut (2011-08-16)
    * Australia's Dollar Rallies Despite Rising Unemployment (2011-08-11)
    * Consumer Sentiment Curbs Appeal of Aussie (2011-08-10)
    * Australian Dollar Attempts Stop Decline, Fails (2011-08-09)
Monday, August 15, 2011

Australian Dollar Continues Its Correction on Weak Retail Sales

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Australian dollarThe Australian currency continued its downward trend against the Forex majors today, as the retail sales report confirmed the negative outlook for the country’s economy.

The Aussie is currently demonstrating its biggest losing streak against the US currency this year. It also fell for the second day against the euro and for the fifth day against the Japanese yen today.




The fall of the Australian dollar has started with the US debt-ceiling deal that promised to curb the global growth and continued with the macroeconomic news from Australia. The retail sales showed a seasonally adjusted month-on-month decline of 0.1 percent in June today. That was a serious blow to the currency strength, as the traders expected about 0.4 percent gain.

Yesterday, housing prices report showed a 1.9 percent yearly drop registered in the second quarter of 2011. This data pushed the currency down against the euro (getting it down from the yearly maximums) and busted the fall against the other currencies.

AUD/USD fell from 1.0780 to 1.0743 as of 18:23 GMT today, with a daily low at 1.0678 — the minimal rate since July 19. AUD/JPY declined from 83.37 to 82.56. EUR/AUD rose from 1.3158 to 1.3324 today.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Australian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Australian Dollar:

AUD Surges Against Everything on Higher Inflation Numbers (2011-07-27)
Aussie Rises on Rate Expectations, US Problems (2011-07-25)
Export & Import Prices Push Aussie Higher (2011-07-22)
Aussie Goes Lower as China's Manufacturing Slows (2011-07-21)
AUD/USD Trades Higher After RBA Minutes (2011-07-19)


This entry was posted on TopForexNews on Wednesday, August 3rd, 2011 at 6:28 pm and is filed under Australian Dollar. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

Aussie Rises on Rate Expectations, US Problems

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Australian dollarThe Australian dollar continued its gaining streak today, rising against the other major currencies, as the economic analysts expect rate increases and the global investors avoid US dollar.

The Aussie (which is a nickname for the Australian currency) managed to grow against the US dollar for fifth day, also gaining considerably against the Japanese yen and the euro. While isolated analysts forecast rate cuts in Australia due to the declining commodity prices, the majority of the banks’ research departments predict about three rate hikes (for 25 basis points each by the end of the year). Adding more interest rate differential is definitely going to make the Aussie an attractive investment target.



Other point that affects the Australian dollar’s market behavior is the fears of some global investors connected with the current situation with the US public debt. The Congress is still blocking any attempts to increase it, while the final date for that (August 2) is approaching. If the consensus won’t be reached until then, the United States will be in state of a technical default. Under these conditions some currency traders prefer to convert into something that is considered safe — and the AUD is one of them.

AUD/USD rose from 1.0849 to 1.0867 as of 18:20 GMT today, reaching intraday high of 1.0876, which is the maximum level since May 11. AUD/JPY went up from 84.88 to 85.03. Meanwhile EUR/AUD declined from 1.3267 to 1.3241 today.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Australian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Australian Dollar:

Export & Import Prices Push Aussie Higher (2011-07-22)

Aussie Goes Lower as China's Manufacturing Slows (2011-07-21)

AUD/USD Trades Higher After RBA Minutes (2011-07-19)

Aussies Goes Down as Europe Hurts Risk Appetite (2011-07-18)

AUD Fall with Stocks & Commodities on Concerns for Global Growth (2011-07-15)

This entry was posted on TopForexNews on Monday, July 25th, 2011 at 6:26 pm and is filed under Australian Dollar. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

Aussie Rises on Rate Expectations, US Problems

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Australian dollarThe Australian dollar continued its gaining streak today, rising against the other major currencies, as the economic analysts expect rate increases and the global investors avoid US dollar.

The Aussie (which is a nickname for the Australian currency) managed to grow against the US dollar for fifth day, also gaining considerably against the Japanese yen and the euro. While isolated analysts forecast rate cuts in Australia due to the declining commodity prices, the majority of the banks’ research departments predict about three rate hikes (for 25 basis points each by the end of the year). Adding more interest rate differential is definitely going to make the Aussie an attractive investment target.



Other point that affects the Australian dollar’s market behavior is the fears of some global investors connected with the current situation with the US public debt. The Congress is still blocking any attempts to increase it, while the final date for that (August 2) is approaching. If the consensus won’t be reached until then, the United States will be in state of a technical default. Under these conditions some currency traders prefer to convert into something that is considered safe — and the AUD is one of them.

AUD/USD rose from 1.0849 to 1.0867 as of 18:20 GMT today, reaching intraday high of 1.0876, which is the maximum level since May 11. AUD/JPY went up from 84.88 to 85.03. Meanwhile EUR/AUD declined from 1.3267 to 1.3241 today.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Australian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Australian Dollar:

Export & Import Prices Push Aussie Higher (2011-07-22)
Aussie Goes Lower as China's Manufacturing Slows (2011-07-21)
AUD/USD Trades Higher After RBA Minutes (2011-07-19)
Aussies Goes Down as Europe Hurts Risk Appetite (2011-07-18)
AUD Fall with Stocks & Commodities on Concerns for Global Growth (2011-07-15)


This entry was posted on TopForexNews on Monday, July 25th, 2011 at 6:26 pm and is filed under Australian Dollar. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

Export & Import Prices Push Aussie Higher

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Australian dollarThe Australian dollar gained today versus the euro and the Japanese yen as the advance of import and export prices prompted the speculation that the central bank will raise interest rates.

Australian import prices rose 0.8 percent in the second quarter, while export prices increased by 6.0 percent. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index of regional shares climbed 1.1 percent. The positive economic data caused most market participants to bet that the next move of the Reserve Bank of Australia will be hike, not cut.



AUD/JPY climbed from 84.87 to 85.20, while EUR/AUD fell from 1.3302 to 1.3284 as of 8:35 GMT today.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Australian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Australian Dollar:

Aussie Goes Lower as China's Manufacturing Slows (2011-07-21)
AUD/USD Trades Higher After RBA Minutes (2011-07-19)
Aussies Goes Down as Europe Hurts Risk Appetite (2011-07-18)
AUD Fall with Stocks & Commodities on Concerns for Global Growth (2011-07-15)
Aussie Heads Down on Europe Woes & China's Growth (2011-07-11)


This entry was posted on TopForexNews on Friday, July 22nd, 2011 at 8:35 am and is filed under Australian Dollar. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

Aussie Goes Lower as China’s Manufacturing Slows

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Australian dollarThe Australian dollar fell today after the report showed a slowdown of China’s manufacturing. The slowdown may curb demand for commodities and that, in turn, would hurt Australia’s economy.

The Flash China Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.9 in July from 50.1 in June. The Flash China Manufacturing Output Index dropped to 47.2 this month from 49.8 in the month before. Both indexes were at 28-month low. Hongbin Qu, Chief Economist, China & Co-Head of Asian Economic Research at HSBC, commented on the report:
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&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Headline flash PMI fell below 50 for the first time since July 2010, suggesting slowing momentum of manufacturing activities. This implies that June’s rebound in industrial production was just temporary. We expect industrial growth to decelerate in the coming months as tightening measures continue to filter through. That said, resilience of consumer spending and continued investment in a massive amount of infrastructure projects should support a nearly 9% rate of GDP growth in the rest of the year.

AUD/USD dropped from 1.0748 to 1.0700 as of 10:35 GMT after reaching the intraday high of 1.0772.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Australian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Australian Dollar:

&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; AUD/USD Trades Higher After RBA Minutes (2011-07-19)
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Aussies Goes Down as Europe Hurts Risk Appetite (2011-07-18)
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; AUD Fall with Stocks &amp; Commodities on Concerns for Global Growth (2011-07-15)
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Aussie Heads Down on Europe Woes &amp; China's Growth (2011-07-11)
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Australian Dollar Falls on Bad US Employment (2011-07-09)


This entry was posted on TopForexNews on Thursday, July 21st, 2011 at 10:35 am and is filed under Australian Dollar. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

Saturday, August 13, 2011

Yen Advances, Japan Worried — New Intervention is Coming?

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Japanese yenThe Japanese yen advanced today, heading to the highs against the dollar last seen during the post-World War II period, and made the Japanese government even more nervous about the currency’s strength.

Investors seek safer assets after North American and European stocks fell. The Standard &amp; Poor’s 500 Index slid 2.6 percent today and the Stoxx Europe 600 dropped 0.9 percent.




The Swiss franc could be the place for investors to put their money in, but the move by Switzerland’s central bank to weaken the nation’s currency made the yen more attractive than the franc as a safe haven. Traders should be cautious, though, as Japan may also intervene to curb appreciation of its currency. Japan’s Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda spoke today in parliament about danger of a strong currency to the nation’s economic growth.

USD/JPY dropped from 76.95 to 76.46 as of 15:10 GMT today after falling to the record low of 76.34. EUR/JPY sank from 110.63 to 108.37, while earlier it reached 108.31 — the lowest level since March 17.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Japanese Yen, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Japanese Yen:

* Impact of BoJ Intervention on Yen Wanes (2011-08-09)
* Yen Slumps on BoJ Intervention (2011-08-04)
* Yen Gains on Greece &amp; US Debt Problems (2011-07-28)
* EU Summit Eases Need for Safety, Yen Drops (2011-07-22)
* Second Week of Gains for Yen, Will BOJ Intervene? (2011-07-16)


This entry was posted on TopForexNews on Wednesday, August 10th, 2011 at 3:10 pm and is filed under Japanese Yen. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

Franc Plunges Heavily on Prospects of Euro-Peg

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Swiss francThe Swiss franc slumped today against all major currencies as Swiss National Bank Vice President Thomas Jordan suggested that a short-term peg of the nation’s currency to the euro could be legal.

The SNB was attempting to weaken the Swiss currency for several years. So far such attempts were futile. There is a difference this time, though, as a peg wouldn’t have just one-time effect as the previous interventions, but would put a continuous pressure on the franc. It looks like Switzerland’s central bank is ready for unconventional measures and such measures can help the bank to achieve its goals for making the franc’s strength less threatening to the country’s economy.


The potential weakening of the Swiss franc can pose an interesting question (in case the SNB would be able to achieve such weakening, of course): what currency can be considered a safe haven? The yen is also under pressure of interventions, while the dollar doesn’t look that safe. Perhaps investors, interested in safety, would shun the Forex market altogether.

USD/CHF surged from 0.7263 to the daily high of 0.7687 today before trading near 0.7617 as of 21:01 GMT. EUR/CHF climbed from 1.0296 to 1.0843. CHF/JPY slumped from 105.72 to 100.88.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Swiss Franc, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Swiss Franc:

    SNB Moves In, Franc Moves Back (2011-08-10)
    Fed Plans Keep Zero Rates till 2013, Dollar Hurt (2011-08-09)
    CHF at New Record vs. USD, Gains vs. Other Currencies (2011-08-08)
    Intervention: Way to Weaker Franc or Bluff of SNB? (2011-08-08)
    Swiss Franc Prevails Despite Intervention (2011-08-04)


This entry was posted on TopForexNews on Thursday, August 11th, 2011 at 9:01 pm and is filed under Swiss Franc. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

Canadian Dollar Receives Hit from US

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Canadian DollarCanada’s dollar plunged today as demand for the nation’s assets deteriorated because of pessimistic outlook for the economy of the biggest nation’s trading partner — the US.

The depressed mood caused fall of equities and decline of commodities. The MSCI World Index of stocks slumped 1.9 percent, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell as much as 2.1 percent.

There are positive sing, though, that may precede a change of the trend. The S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 0.4 percent. Crude oil, the main export of Canada, rallied 3.2 percent to $81.82 per barrel. Yield on the two-year government bonds fell five basis points to 0.81 percent.

USD/CAD jumped from 0.9771 to 0.9921 as of 19:19 GMT today. EUR/CAD advanced from 1.4044 to 1.4088 after reaching the intraday high of 1.4174. CAD/JPY fell from 78.70 to 77.38 and declined during the day to 76.82, the lowest level since March 2009.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Canadian Dollar:

    Canadian Dollar Falls Along with Other Commodity Currencies (2011-08-02)
    Loonie Declines as Economy Contracts (2011-07-29)
    CAD Sets New Multi-Year Record on US Crisis Expectations (2011-07-26)
    Canadian Inflation Slows, Loonie Retreats (2011-07-22)
    CAD Reaches Three-Year High vs. USD (2011-07-22)

This entry was posted on TopForexNews on Wednesday, August 10th, 2011 at 7:19 pm and is filed under Canadian Dollar. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

Yen Advances, Japan Worried — New Intervention is Coming?

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Japanese yenThe Japanese yen advanced today, heading to the highs against the dollar last seen during the post-World War II period, and made the Japanese government even more nervous about the currency’s strength.

Investors seek safer assets after North American and European stocks fell. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slid 2.6 percent today and the Stoxx Europe 600 dropped 0.9 percent.

The Swiss franc could be the place for investors to put their money in, but the move by Switzerland’s central bank to weaken the nation’s currency made the yen more attractive than the franc as a safe haven. Traders should be cautious, though, as Japan may also intervene to curb appreciation of its currency. Japan’s Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda spoke today in parliament about danger of a strong currency to the nation’s economic growth.

USD/JPY dropped from 76.95 to 76.46 as of 15:10 GMT today after falling to the record low of 76.34. EUR/JPY sank from 110.63 to 108.37, while earlier it reached 108.31 — the lowest level since March 17.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Japanese Yen, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.


Earlier News About the Japanese Yen:

Impact of BoJ Intervention on Yen Wanes (2011-08-09)
Yen Slumps on BoJ Intervention (2011-08-04)
Yen Gains on Greece & US Debt Problems (2011-07-28)
EU Summit Eases Need for Safety, Yen Drops (2011-07-22)
Second Week of Gains for Yen, Will BOJ Intervene? (2011-07-16)


This entry was posted on TopForexNews on Wednesday, August 10th, 2011 at 3:10 pm and is filed under Japanese Yen. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.
 
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